2026 Approval Rates Show Increased Scrutiny - EB-1A & EB-2 NIW Green Cards
Must Know Facts

Must-Know Facts

  • The approval rate for the extraordinary ability green card dropped drastically from 66.91% in FY 2025 to just 47.45% in Q1 2026.
  • Driven by a 200% surge in applications over the last few years, EB-2 NIW approval rates fell from 55.17% in FY 2025 to 42.61% in Q1 2026 as USCIS adjudicators apply heavy scrutiny.
Graph showing increased scutiniy of approval rates

USCIS released the latest approval rate data for employment-based permanent residency in the first quarter of FY 2026. Relative to FY 2025, pathways including the EB-1A and EB-2 NIW saw increased scrutiny and lower approval odds.

I-140 Approval Rates In FY 2026 Q1

Visa Category
Approved
Denied

Q1 2026 I-140 Approval Rate

First Preference (EB1)
5,961
2,562
69.94%
Alien of Extraordinary Ability (E11)
2,180
2,414
47.45%
Outstanding Professor or Researcher (E12)
1,342
73
94.84%
Multi-national Executive or Manager (E13)
2,439
75
97.02%
Second Preference (EB2)
18,246
3,458
84.07%
Professionals with Advanced Degrees (E21)
15,866
252
98.44%
National Interest Waiver (NIW)
2,380
3,206
42.61%
Third Preference (EB3)
23,715
433
98.21%
Skilled Worker (E31)
5,021
171
96.71%
Professionals with Baccalaureate Degrees (E32)
8,190
144
98.27%
Unskilled Workers (EW3)
10,504
118
98.89%

USCIS Data Reveals Sharp Decline in High-Skilled Visa Approvals

The EB-1A green card, reserved for individuals with extraordinary ability, saw approval rates plummet from 66.91% in FY 2025 to 47.45% in Q1 2026.

The EB-2 NIW also saw increased scrutiny, with the approval rate down from 55.17% in FY 2025 to 42.61% in Q1 2026.

Why Is Scrutiny Increasing?

In the past several years, the number of applications for both the EB-2 NIW and EB-1 has skyrocketed. For example, Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 saw 21,973 EB-2 NIW petitions, whereas FY 2025 saw 66,276 filings in FY 2025. This 200% increase in a few short years has led USCIS adjudicators to apply stricter standards, utilizing more subjective “final merits determinations” and apply stricter judgment on national interest.

Recently, USCIS was ordered to approve a formerly rejected EB-1A petition after a U.S. district court decided the final merits determination was unlawfully adopted and arbitrarily applied.

 

How VisaNation Can Help

Book a Consultation

Despite an increase in scutiny, VisaNation Law Group's approval rates remain well above USCIS approval averages. Our attorneys are experts in high-talent visas like the EB-1A and EB-2 NIW, and can provide an honest assessment of your chances based on your profile.

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About the Author

author
Shilpa Malik Managing attorney

Shilpa Malik is the managing attorney of VisaNation Law Group. She has over a decade of experience helping individuals, families, and businesses navigate complex immigration matters. She is passionate about providing practical, reliable information to her clients.

Shilpa regularly writes about U.S. visas, green cards, business immigration, and policy updates to help readers stay informed and make confident decisions about their immigration journey.